At the start of this generation, it was a comical question.
But look at the situation now: the Wii might be at around 90 million, while the PS3 and 360 are hovering around 60 million.
Depending on the source, it seems the PlayStation 3 isn't more than 4 or 5 million units behind the Xbox 360 in the worldwide tally, and again, we have to wonder if Sony is quoting sold numbers. For the record, Microsoft always uses shipped numbers. It's also interesting to note that the 360 has been around for an extra full year. That's pretty significant, you know.
The Wii is obviously way ahead of both and neither the PS3 or 360 will pass it any time soon. But Sony seems to be committed to their 10-year life cycle for the PS3, and Wii sales have been in a tailspin for quite some time. That thing will have flat-lined long before the PS3 disappears; in fact, historically speaking, the PS3 could sell a huge number of consoles in the future. Once the price drops down to $200 and then $100, given the huge library and the potentially prohibitive cost of new hardware, sales could continue to climb.
I really don't think there's any doubt that the PS3 will enjoy far better sales than either the Wii or 360, even when the PS4 is on store shelves. So if we look at the numbers again in another three or four years, would anyone be really shocked to see that the PS3 had topped even the once-invincible Wii? It almost seems inevitable that Sony's console will top the 360, if it hasn't already. And once Microsoft comes out with a new machine, that'll be it for the 360, as it was for the original Xbox. So what do you think about this?