Well, you have to give the guy credit. He hasn't once backed off on his stance; he has always said the PlayStation 3 will emerge on top in this generation. And that's what Sony Computer Entertainment chairman Kazuo Hirai does : he makes bold statements, then works to try to back them up. Pretty simple, really.

According to a recent interview with OPM, Hirai said he believes Microsoft's Xbox 360 "lacks longevity" and won't be able to compete with the PS3 down the road. As far as Nintendo's gargantuan lead, Hirai simply said, "I'd like to think that we continue official leadership in this industry." He also said he doesn't look at the Wii as a competitor (which we at PSXE have been saying all along), and went on to say that "they're a different world and we operate in our world." And as always, when asked about the 360, Hirai says he has difficulty assigning just "one word" to the system, but in the interview he said "you need a word that describes something that lacks longevity." He went on:

"Last time I checked, they've never had a console that's been on the market for more than four or five years and we've committed to a ten year life cycle, so you do the math. And unless things go really bad, there's no way that at the end of a life cycle our competition is going to have a higher install base."

Well, that's probably true. The PlayStations just seem to stick around for a longer span of time, although the original went out in about 6 years. The PS2 is still going (it's currently in its 9th year), and Sony has said many times that the PS3 has a 10-year lifespan as well. The 360 isn't likely to last that long, but who knows? We don't try to predict the future, but it's part of Hirai's job to try.

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www
www
11 years ago

I predict the 360 lasting till 2012-2013 and the ps3 going to 2014-2015.

Zorigo
Zorigo
11 years ago

that makes sense

englishgolfer
englishgolfer
11 years ago

@ www

i don't know. if you use the xbox as a door stop you might get 20 – 25 years out of it 😉

Tim Speed24
Tim Speed24
11 years ago

Yep, true. About the door stop thing.


Last edited by Tim Speed24 on 1/20/2009 1:13:09 PM

www
www
11 years ago

Hahahahaa of course the 360 would last the longest if it was a door stop,it's flat!

CH1N00K
CH1N00K
11 years ago

I don't know it's still made of plastic…one good hit with the door and you have a broken doorstop..:D

kidgrid
kidgrid
11 years ago

It would also make a nice night light with that soothing red glowing ring

Dingodial
Dingodial
11 years ago

I have always thought that it looks as if it has been run over by a semi-truck or a train. The ugly piece of junk is curved inwwards on both sides! PS3 on the other hand looks as if it has so many features that is is about to explode since it looks bulgy!

EddPm6
EddPm6
11 years ago

Of course it cant last that long. They would have to build machines that actually work!!! And the fact that in the new generation(PS4 Xbox w/e) they will HAVE to put it a new form of expanded drive. 9gb dvd WILL NOT cut it and is currently fading away. Ive heard xbox fanboys say " well blu-ray is useless because most games are only 9gb anyway." WEll,….no. most multi platform games are 9gb and developers are limited to how much they can create. GTA4?

coverton341
coverton341
11 years ago

Next gen microsoft is going to go all out and back digital media I believe. Sure they will hang onto the DVD-9 format and put small initial installs of games on them but then they will rely more heavily on "DLC" which will be the actual game and the discs will be more like the system data for the games. This is just what I see happening for Microsoft. I see Sony pushing the larger blu-ray discs into the next system and trying to utilize the proto 300gb discs that are being developed. Which way will be the better idea? Who knows until it happens if it happens at all.

bearbobby
bearbobby
11 years ago

They can't hope to rely on strictly DLC for game media. Most of their US customers don't have the bandwidth or have an IP that caps their data flow. It's just not realistic right now.

www
www
11 years ago

I think it will be the biggest BLUNDER if MS do wat u said coverton341


Last edited by www on 1/20/2009 3:13:18 PM

Powershifter
Powershifter
11 years ago

Personally, I would rather have my game on a disc than on my HD, for a variety of reasons.

Arvis
Arvis
11 years ago

You know, what he says is all basically true, but fanboys are going to rip into this.

-Arvis

Zorigo
Zorigo
11 years ago

fanboys irritate me.

Zorigo
Zorigo
11 years ago

it is so true, nintendo, know one compares them to ps3 and 360 anymore, and haven't been doing for a long time. the 360 lacks decent exclusives in my opinion. yeah, gears, halo, pgr, fable, but we have more, and that's enough for me. uncharted, gt5, lbp, killzone, mgs, god of war for starters. that's not a fnaboy comment, thats my opinion.

coverton341
coverton341
11 years ago

The 360 still has a larger RPG base but hopefully that gap will close and maybe some of the companies could bring there RPG's to the PS3 I would love to play Lost Odyssey on one disc. I hated it the first time I played it but going through it again it is not that bad I guess.

Arvis
Arvis
11 years ago

Sadly, Mistwalker would sooner fold and close it's doors completely before they work with Sony. That is, unless Mistwalker's higher-ups stage a coup and oust Hironobu Sakaguchi…

-Arvis

coverton341
coverton341
11 years ago

Well since Ken Kutaragi stepped down in 2007 maybe Hironobu Sakaguchi will stop wearing his douche hat sooner or later and get over the "to hard to develop for" stigma. Probably not but I am holding out hope for at least the end of the year. In the meantime I will continue playing it on the 360 and uninstalling and installing discs to the HDD as needed. Crap.

Orvisman
Orvisman
11 years ago

@ Arvis,

Kind of difficult since Hironobu Sakaguchi started Mistwalker when he left SquareEnix.

I know why he left and dislikes Square, but I don't understand his dislike for Sony.

kreate
kreate
11 years ago

sakaguchi fought with some members in square enix as well as members in the playstation department of sony. so he dislikes them both. but he wasnt as happy on the blue dragon and lost odyssey sales. japanese ppl have abandoned him (in a way, or maybe he has abandon the japanese ppl). but only reason xbox started to sell in japan was becuz of the blue dragon xbox bundle.

although from a financial standpoint, sakaguchi might make games multiplatform (hopefully). i have both the blue dragon and lost odyssey. and its decent rpgs. lost odyssey a bit more of a dissapointment for me though.

anyone know what sakaguchi is doing now?

pavlovic
pavlovic
11 years ago

I'm pretty sure that we'll have PS3 for quite a while and MS will be forced to have a new console in the next 3 years so they can compete with Sony Machine. That means the PS3 will be 5 years old and the 360 would last 6 tops.

So I think the real competitor for the PS3 in the long term will be the next Xbox console.

N a S a H
N a S a H
11 years ago

I'm sure Microsoft are going to try make you download/install all your games onto your HDD and play them like a PC game. This is will probably happen for the 720. If that does happen I won't get it and I'll just stick to PC and PS4. (Whenever that is….)

ps92117
ps92117
11 years ago

Advertise and I see this being true, otherwise this crap. One thing that sony is being samrt about is creating new franchises instead of completely relying on the old ones, example, mag, infamous, lbp resistance, heavy rain,motor storm and in a way kz since it has being a long time from kz1.All of our classics are going away mgs4 was suppose to be the last, so is gow3 and gt5(there is only one that has not died yet damn, unfrotunetly not died yet, can you guess which?). Unlike ms with there 5th halo and probably 3rd gears, sony is bulding a name for the future.


Last edited by ps92117 on 1/20/2009 11:45:50 AM

coverton341
coverton341
11 years ago

They probably won't take 10 years to come out with the PS4 but they will support the PS3 for ten years I mean like what was already stated the PS2 is still supported and it is in year 9 so I can absolutely see the same occurrence for the PS3

ps92117
ps92117
11 years ago

sorry edited the comment

coverton341
coverton341
11 years ago

GT5 is the last one!?!?! Dammit, man. I did not know that and that sucks balls. Anyway MGS4 was the last Snake story and probably the last one that Kojima will take the helm of but let us not forget they are making more Metal Gear's apparently though they most likely will never live up to Kojima's masterpieces but at least he is a true blue game developer and is coming out with more games and more original IP's and hopefully a new ZoE game

King James
King James
11 years ago

New Z.O.E???!!! Yes, please!

Daedusian
Daedusian
11 years ago

Yeah but do you think Sony will be pressured into releasing a PS4 sooner than expected if say the Xbox720 and WiiHD come out next year (or even 2 years from now)? Or do you think they'll be confident enough to keep going? I think they can easily do it, but maybe MS will improve greatly this time around since they screwed up so badly this gen with their faulty system. I mean, I just got my 360 this xmas and it's already pissing me off lol! – Idk, just some thoughts.


Last edited by Daedusian on 1/20/2009 11:43:29 AM

coverton341
coverton341
11 years ago

I don't see the next MS system coming in the next year and if it did I think there would be a customer backlash seeing that people have so much invested in the 360 to just have to buy a new system so soon. The life cycle of hardware is longer than that and longer than that for a reason. Consumers as a whole do not want to change tech that fast with exception being made only to PC's really. But on the WiiHD thing I think Nintendo could have released it a year after the Wii and people would have eaten it up. For some reason Nintendo can do no wrong. All they have to do is slap that red logo on that has not changed ever and people will flock to it.

Daedusian
Daedusian
11 years ago

Yah, I know I don't want to upgrade systems seeing that I just got one lol.

And yeah, it doesn't even matter what Nintendo does for their next console.. it could be the exact same system with a new controller and they'll call it a day and make crazy money all over again like how they're doing with the Wii now.


Last edited by Daedusian on 1/20/2009 12:16:44 PM

FreQaZoiD
FreQaZoiD
11 years ago

My predictions for 2009-10 are: 1) XBox 360 will begin its decent THIS year and by Holiday 2010 it will be done. 2) M$ will announce their "next-gen" console early in 2010. 3) PS3 will continue its evolution as software developers discover new intricacies of such powerful hardware. By Holiday 2009, PS3 will begin outsell ALL other consoles monthly and not look back. 4) PS3 will drop in price by Holiday 2009.

This is simply my opinion XBots. 🙂

coverton341
coverton341
11 years ago

One hole in your theory. Nothing will ever outsell the damn Wii. Hell the Wii is outselling cigarettes 3 to 1 and outselling gas 1.5 Wiis to every gallon of gas sold in America.

Those are true facts right there. 😉

FreQaZoiD
FreQaZoiD
11 years ago

Yeah you're right… even I have a Wii (and a DS). But as we all know – the Wii is not a true competitor.

kreate
kreate
11 years ago

the wii is more of a electronic gadget that plays simple games. and nintendo has a different target audience than sony and micro. i give my salutations to nintendo for taking that move but are ppl going to buy a wii2 if nintendo ever make one?

although i think xbox sucks, its a hella lot better than a wii.

whooka
whooka
11 years ago

If you want to see the PS3 hatewagon in action, check out wired.com as they just posted this same piece but under the title 'Top 5 Crazy Things PlayStation Boss Hirai Said Today' with a simple 'no comment required' after these points (from wired's side). sad, sad, sad. while i have no real interest in killzone2 as it's an FPS i can't wait for it to come out just so we have something to rally around when they publish these blogs as 'news' at wired.

StrategicGnomer
StrategicGnomer
11 years ago

Here's what I think is gonna happen, I think m$ will come out with the next console when this one dies, about 5 years into the ps3's 10 year span, then the ps4 will come out a few years after that, then the xbox, then the ps5 etc. and they'll just alternate. You know, I realized something the other day because, I always thought I was just a sony fanboy but that's not true, in the past i loved all systems, hell, I even like the wii a bit, i would buy one if i had the money so i'm not a fanboy, what it is, I just f***ing hate microsoft these days. Sure, windows xp was good, and the first xbox was good too (although halo was just too hyped up for me) but lately m$ has just been making crappy products. Vista, 360, M$ is just crap these days.

MetalHead09
MetalHead09
11 years ago

theres only one game on the wii that interests me, deadly creatures looks so freakin neat. even if it is a little bit shallow over all i like the idea of playing a brawler as a spider or scorpion.

King James
King James
11 years ago

don't forget the Zune

shaydey77
shaydey77
11 years ago

Well the fact that many people have said Microsofts console has peaked leads me to believe he is right. Does PS3 have the ability to last out against newer consoles?? Of course it does. The PS3 will then become the cheapest console and sell more.(i dont include the gimmick).

As to if Microsoft launched a new console now I highly doubt there would be customer backlash. Look at the sheer amount of faulty systems they have shipped..any backlash there??
They are in it for the money, plain and simple.

theres nothing wrong with that except they really dont care about the gaming community.

Wage SLAVES
Wage SLAVES
11 years ago

Exactly Shadey. If the XB 720 want to compete with the PS3 then its going to have to make great games off the bat (while possibly being marginally better than PS3) while the PS3 will be at its PRIME. It'll cost so much people will most likely ride it out for the PS4.

If they do something with Digital Downloads then they have no prospect here. If my HDD were to kick the bucket Im going to have to sit hours to Download ALL my sh*t again!!! NOPE! Not happenin.

Jordahn
Jordahn
11 years ago

I do agree with him in regards to the 360 because I see the PS3 as a console with reliablity and room for plenty of improvement as we've seen and heard from other developers. But in regards to the Wii, he's wrong. I do agree that the typical gaming selection and style on the Wii is different from the 360 and PS3. But the reality here is that the general consumer still sees all three major gaming consoles as game consoles instead of the PS3 being a gaming console that goes above and beyond. $250 for a Gamecube is $250 less for a PS3. And that's the reality SONY has to address.


Last edited by Jordahn on 1/20/2009 1:17:22 PM

NiteKrawler
NiteKrawler
11 years ago

$250 for a Gamecube? Only if it's filled with drugs. In my opinion, the general consumer is not a gamer and general gamers do NOT see the Wii as a next gen console, let alone competition for the 360 or PS3. It's merely an innovative toy and its price reflects that. The PS3 however, is a high tech powerful piece of hardware that can not only play true next gen games, but also surf the internet, play Bluray movies, is virtually wireless, etc… and ITS price reflects THAT. That's the reality you have to face.

MetalHead09
MetalHead09
11 years ago

well said nite

Jordahn
Jordahn
11 years ago

@Kite

What was I thinking? When I said "Gamecube" I meant "Wii." Sorry. But would you rather prefer a casual gamer to spend $250 on a Wii or save that $250 to eventually buy a PS3? It would be nice to see more casual gamers buy the PS3 because it lends more support to SONY. But no matter how you slice it, $250 on a Wii is $250 less for a PS3. I cannot see how anyone cannot see this reality.

NiteKrawler
NiteKrawler
11 years ago

I see what you're saying, but I don't know how Sony could do much about it. The PS3 is so expensive because it takes a lot of money to make it. I'm sure they wish it didn't cost so much so they could sell it at a lower price, which would be more incentive for casual gamers to pick it up. In time it will go down in price even more than it has but until then I think Sony is doing its best. And I figured you meant the Wii when you said Gamecube. Anyway I agree that it would be great if PS3 was more around the 360/Wii price range. For gamers AND Sony itself.


Last edited by NiteKrawler on 1/21/2009 1:18:27 AM

Powershifter
Powershifter
11 years ago

@ Nitekrawler: you said, "$250 for a Gamecube? Only if it's filled with drugs." If there was a PSXExtreme quote of the week, I think that would be it. I know 'Jordahn' meant the Wii, but man that was funny…

WorldEndsWithMe
WorldEndsWithMe
11 years ago

The good Benstradamus Dutkasaurus is certain that software is THE seller of hardware and I concur. Here is my prediction on that front as if anyone particularly cares:

Storage media is still very important, and for the next gen experience we were promised to come true one just flat out needs more than 9 gigs. As more and more games like GOWIII, Killzone 2, Heavy Rain, and InFamous hit shelves both gamers and formerly biased "journalists" will be forced to play these games because what Can and Is coming for 360 for all intents and purposes can't get much better than the exclusives it has at this very moment. When the best games are no longer on people's systems they will "break down" and buy a PS3.

Now, I have "broken down" and bought a few consoles in my time and if you also have then you know the thrill of secretly thinking, "Oh my God I was wrong the whole time, these games are better by far." SOFTWARE Goddammit, That is why 360 has not the longevity required to endure. At some point even games that were multiplat will not be able to make a new iteration that pushes the boundaries while still functioning on the xbox.

Face it, trying to jump forward on old media is trouble wether it's N64 and 32x with cartridges or Dreamcast with GDRoms, these attempts always fall short in the end. I still love my Dreamcast, and I hope people without RROD can love their Xboxcast while it lasts, but that time will draw to a close in the next few years.

ps92117
ps92117
11 years ago

Well I agree, but in reality I think that without ads sony will be the dreamcast, but with ads I see a very tough road ahead for the 360.

King James
King James
11 years ago

Great point World. It's simple and it make a whole lotta sense.

The XBox360 is limited because the software is limited. Its all relative.